confidence scale design

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papersSEP 12 04:00 UTC

Study Finds Confidence Scale Design Shapes LLM Uncertainty Estimates

A new arXiv paper examines how the numerical scale used for verbalized confidence, usually 0-100, affects the reliability of LLM uncertainty estimates. The authors argue this design choice is not neutral and that scale design should be treated as a meaningful variable in black-box calibration research.

llm/calibration/uncertainty/research